By C. Hood, D. K. C. Jones
An exam of other theoretical, methodological and useful techniques in the direction of the administration of danger. Seven dimensions of the controversy are pointed out, and the case for every place is recommend, the full dialogue being set in context and standpoint. This quantity makes an attempt to spot and juxtapose the contested doctrines and underlying assumptions within the box of threat administration.
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Additional resources for Accident And Design: Contemporary Debates On Risk Management
The two basic activities of hazard engineering are hazard auditing and hazard management. The simple message that emerges is that safety depends upon good management. Technical and human factors It can be argued that there are two broad world-views of hazard, risk and safety, which may be referred to as technical/engineering and social science/ management (Royal Society 1992). The technical approach is often termed the “hard” approach (Blockley 1992a). It is typified by formal models and by the need for “objective” measurement.
Forecasting Forecasting is similarly beset with problems of heightened expectations because of advances in science and technology. Progress has been variable, as a result of differing ability to monitor conditions. Where monitoring is achievable with present technology, such as for the atmosphere or ocean surface, reasonable levels of forecasting accuracy have been achieved over recent decades. g. the Storm Tide Warning Service operated by the UK Meteorological Office). Even the generally available short-term (24 hour to 48 hour) weather forecasts achieve a reasonable level of accuracy (70–85%), although they are still incapable of providing information on 28 ANTICIPATING THE RISKS POSED BY NATURAL PERILS the location, timing and intensity of small-scale phenomena such as individual tornadoes, thunderstorms, locally intense rain or hail, violent gusts, and so on.
The notion of a sociotechnical system stresses the close interdependence between people and their social arrangements and the technological hardware they make and use. People and technology interact with each other and, over a period, change each other in complex and often unforeseen ways. To appreciate this, it is helpful to imagine the development of an accident (failure, disaster) as analogous to the inflation of a balloon. The process starts when air is first blown into the balloon, at which point the first preconditions for an accident are established.